7 October 2005

How The Conservative Leadership Contest Will Go

Five men go in, only one walks out. Rifkind is the first to go and Davis wins by a large number of MPs' votes. Sir Malcolm then throws his support behind Ken Clarke as he shares his "One Nation Conservatism" ideas, despite disagreeing on Europe (which is a none-issue in this campaign). Next out is Dr Fox who backs his co-right wing candidate David Davis who is struggling, as too is David Cameron as he seems to be rather lightweight after his initial early showing. The "Tony Blair" tag is really hanging heavy around his neck. Cameron then goes out with Clarke and Davis very close. He instantly backs Ken (unsurprisingly) and more of his supporters come out and do the same. If had then gone to the MPs Ken would win with overwhelming support of 66% MPs. Instead the two remaining challengers step out to the members of the Party appeal for their votes. Davis' lack of orator qualities really start to hurt him as Clarke seems to be selling him self on his previous tax cuts and his "big beast" status. Two days before my birthday the result is announced with Ken winning with 61% of the votes despite the bulk of the party not liking his pro-Europe stance. Davis is humiliated and withdraws to the backbenches and it seems the Party have made a sensible choice. Being able to speak in public really does matter it seems. The "Churchillian" comeback is complete (no doubt helped by the fact that he is overweight, speaks his mind, drinks and smokes cigars).

4 comments:

  1. After all this fun, on Sunday Glenda Jackson confirmed that if Tony doesn't stand down within the next 12 months (and if she was asked to), she'd stand as a "stalking horse". This basically means she'd challenge Tony for the leadership knowing she won't win but it would force Gordon to jump in and make his move (otherwise Alan Milburn may step in as a serious contender and Tony may step down). Lots of fun for all parties!

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  2. For more political gossip, try Guy Fawke's blog.

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  3. Cool site, thanks for that Bob! Rifkind has stepped down already and backed Clarke. One of his backers, Michael Ancram, has backed Cameron. I've never been impressed with Ancram and wondered how he keeps popping up in cabinets under Hague, IDS and Howard, not to mention leadership contests. I wonder if Dr Fox will jump ship before the first round (a week today), he can't really expect to fend off Cameron and Clarke (Davis is one MP short of making into the final two, so long as they all vote the way they've promised). That said, with Dr Fox in you may get tactical voting to try to get rid of either Cameron or Clarke and make sure Fox and Davis get through. Interesting times ahead...

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  4. First round today, very nervous but it has to be bye-bye Dr Fox. The big question is how close will Cameron and Clarke be?

    Some good material from Rory Bremner again. Interestingly pointing out that David Cameron does have senior experience in government, he was Senior Adviser to the Treasury when Norman Lamont lost us billions on Black Wednesday!

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